‘Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantummania’ Franchise Best $280M Global Opening – Box Office Preview
The tentpole drought, caused by a pandemic post-production logjam, officially this weekend as Disney and Marvel Studios’ Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantummania The event from this Friday through early September opens the floodgates on what is an integrated stream of movies
Early tracking from four weeks ago indicated $120M over 4-days for the President’s Day holiday in the US/Canada. Disney is expecting at least $95M in 3-days, $105M-$110M in 4,300 theaters — still a franchise record debut and a cool 25% increase from 2018’s 3-day opening Ant-Man and the WaspAs its $75.8M standard, there are no other fresh wide releases from rival studios. The Peyton Reed-directed threequel opens Wednesday offshore, around $160M for a global start of $280M overseas (which includes $35M-$55M from China). Tracking remains somewhat elusive for major films even as the pandemic subsides, however, with Jonathan Majors’ new mega-MCU villain Kang the Conqueror making his big screen debut following the introduction of his variant in the Marvel/Disney+ series. loki, That could really create a stampede of walk-up business this coming weekend. Currently, domestic advance ticket sales for Ant-Man 3 15% are tracking back Thor: Love and Thunder which opened to $144.1M in 3-days. Natch, Disney has all Imax (400 auditoriums), PLF (~900), Dbox (280) and 3D screens (2,500).
Ant-Man 3 France, Korea, Germany and Italy will begin Wednesday through Friday before rolling out its antennas in essentially all foreign markets Turkey is lingering in the midst of a humanitarian crisis. Stateside, Thursday previews begin at 3PM.
The current Rotten Tomatoes review at the time of this post is 63% fresh out of 70 reviews, which is below 87% certified fresh. Ant-Man and the Wasp and 83% fresh certified Ant people. The previous CinemaScore was for A ant people and for A Ant-Man and the Wasp. before Ant-Mans It’s mostly male at about 60%, including 62% of the audience over 25.
Ant-Man 3 First MCU title since Disney/Marvel to release in China in step with domestic Avengers: Endgame and Sony/Marvel’s Spider-Man: Far From Home in 2019 (the latter moved a week ago). This is only the second Marvel title to be dated in China Far from home — Disney/Marvels Black Panther: Wakanda Forever A window was given earlier this month, essentially as a primer This comes after what was seen as an unofficial ban on movies with Marvel characters over the past few years, an issue that seemed to stem from cultural, geopolitical and broader Hollywood sensitivities.
As always, and perhaps more than ever, China will be a swing market this weekend. As expected, people did not flock to the group Black Panther 2, though it was already subject to piracy, so it wasn’t a good barometer for the way the wind was blowing among audiences when it came to Marvel movies. But, to complicate matters, there are a number of new local titles set to release this week, including Journal of Party Secretary Dr and sports drama Chinese ping-pong.
for choice, Ant-Man and the Wasp The original was down $169M overseas ant people Made $109M
Another thing to watch out for is how heavy sci-fi the focus is Quantum mania Resonates in markets that have struggled with such trends in the past.
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